Navigating the Housing Market: Buy Now or Wait Until 2024?

by Kolton Villa

The housing market has witnessed considerable fluctuations since the pandemic, leaving potential homeowners contemplating whether to make a purchase now or to wait for a potentially more favorable market.

High mortgage rates and home prices have prompted many to delay their home-buying plans. The Fannie Mae Home Purchase Sentiment Index reveals that as of early July, 78% of consumers consider this a bad time to buy a house.

However, there's good news for buyers, particularly in Las Vegas. Home prices, after steadily declining for seven consecutive months up until February, have shown signs of a plateau. Knock, a real estate company, anticipates that over 30 metro areas, including Las Vegas, will lean towards favoring buyers by the end of this year. But, the question remains: is now the ideal time to buy a house in Las Vegas, or should one hold off in anticipation of a drop in prices or rates?

The answer, like real estate itself, is location-dependent. Despite the high mortgage rates and increasing home prices, there are valid reasons to consider buying a home now. Purchasing a home allows you to begin building equity immediately and shields you from the possibility of further rate hikes. The potential for higher rates could strain your budget and result in a larger total interest payment over the life of your loan. A sound piece of advice is to "marry the house and date the rate"; focus on the home you want to invest in and remember you can always refinance later.

If you're considering purchasing a home now, ask yourself three essential questions: Do you have excellent credit? Have you saved enough for a down payment? And are you planning to stay in the home for a while? If you can answer yes to these three questions, now might be the right time to buy.

If you're still on the fence, consider that the 30-year mortgage rates are expected to fall to 6.3% by the end of 2023, according to Fannie Mae's June forecast. A slight decrease in mortgage rates can have a significant impact on your long-term affordability. However, predicting exactly where rates will land by year-end is not feasible.

Three scenarios in which waiting may be beneficial include: when home values in your area are dropping, when inventory in your area is increasing, and if your personal finances need improvement. According to a July report from Redfin, home prices in Las Vegas have dropped by 6%. Furthermore, with many buyers opting to wait due to high interest rates, some areas are witnessing an increase in inventory.

It's important to remember that real estate is hyper-local. Therefore, whether to buy a house now or wait can greatly depend on the specific market you're targeting. For those eyeing the Las Vegas market, note that it has seen a drop in prices, potentially favoring buyers.

Finally, the possibility of a recession, which currently sits at an uncomfortably high 59% according to Bankrate, must also be factored into your decision. Buying a house during a recession can be risky, yet it can also present opportunities for those in stable financial conditions due to less competition.

In summary, deciding whether to buy a house now or wait until 2024 requires a careful analysis of your personal financial status, credit score, and savings, as well as the local housing market. For Las Vegas homebuyers, it might be worth talking to a Villa Group agent to navigate the specific quirks of the Las Vegas market and decide whether to invest now or wait for the market to become more favorable.

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